NCAA Tournament bubble watch: Winners and losers as conference championship week marches forward

Conference championship week in men’s college basketball includes a means of getting away . a feeling of emergency for teams across the NCAA Tournament bubble.

Most intriguing are conference tournament matchups between two bubble teams. Win and advance. Or lose and wait to listen to with regards to your postseason fate.

Such was the issue for several Big East teams: Seton Hall began Thursday among the “next four out” however vaulted inside the line by knocking off fellow bubble foe St. John’s within the Big East quarterfinals. St. John’s had just lately taken Xavier’s place among the “last four in” to begin every day however will fall within the forecasted field of 68.

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Duke’s season found an instantaneous finish transporting out an optimistic COVID-19 test with COVID-19 let for that team’s ACC Tournament game against Florida Condition to obtain known as off. Without playing that game, nowhere Devils’ credentials aren’t enough to visit dancing. Fellow ACC bubble team Syracuse can be a closer call. Carrying out a Orange defeated New You’ll be able to Condition on Wednesday, they fell round the buzzer-beater to top-seeded Virginia.

Here’s overview of all of the winners and losers across the NCAA tournament bubble from heading into Friday’s conference tournament action:


Seton Hall (First four out). The Pirates (14-12, 10-9 Big East) beat St. John’s 77-69 in overtime. This victory moves those to the “first four out” but they have reached win Friday against Georgetown within the semifinals to become this combination for almost any likely place within the First Four. It hurts Seton Hall the Hoyas upset Villanova because the chance to overcome ‘Nova is the perfect boost for that profile. The Pirates’ tournament resume includes a Internet score within the high 50s as being a weakness however a higher-30 strength of schedule may help.

Syracuse (In – No. 12 seed). Despite losing to top-seeded Virginia round the buzzer-beater on Thursday, the Orange (16-9, 9-7 ACC) are squeezing towards the forecasted field among the “last four in.” They’ve done enough by beating New You’ll be able to Condition within the second round – their third win consecutively. Still, without another game to determine, it’s apt to be close for coach Jim Boeheim’s team. The committee will discover only one Quadrant 1 win across the team’s profile.

Wichita Condition (In – No. 11 seed). The Shockers (16-4, 11-2) could not afford an unhealthy loss, so surviving Florida 68-67 within the American Sports Conference quarterfinal matchup is a much-needed win. WSU’s Internet score within the 60s is difficult, much like just two Quadrant 1 wins. There’s however enough there otherwise, along with a top-15 non-conference strength of schedule.

Utah Condition (First four out). The Aggies (19-7, 15-4 Mountain West) hammered UNLV 74-53 within the Mountain West Tournament quarterfinals to become consideration by having an at-large bid. They are presently across the “first four out” line due to there being 3 Quad 1 wins the other Quad 2 victory across the resume. .

Ole Miss (Next four out). The Rebels (16-10, 10-6) would be the “next four out” group following an SEC tournament make an impression on Sc. Coach Kermit Davis’ group has won three consecutively but lost to Vanderbilt on March 6 for almost any major résumé stain. More winning is required by having an at-large bid.

Rutgers (In – No. 10 seed). The Scarlet Knights (15-10, 10-10 Big Ten) handled Indiana 61-50 within the Big Ten tournament’s second round. Beginning every day as being a relatively secure No. 10 seed, this win fully safeguards Rutgers’ inclusion in March Madness. A greater-40 Internet score and five Quad 1 victories will most likely be too appealing for the committee to miss.

Maryland (In – No. 10 seed). Within the matchup between two likely safe Big Ten bubble teams, the Terrapins (16-12, 9-11 Big Ten) got past Michigan Condition 68-57 within the Big Ten’s second round before falling against Michigan on Friday. Five Quad 1 wins along with a top-15 strength of schedule solidifies an at-large bid.

Georgia Tech (In – No. 9 seed). The Yellow Jackets (16-8, 11-6 ACC) are not only seen within the bubble. They are the hottest teams going dancing, getting won seven consecutively. Beating ACC bottom-feeder Miami (Fla.) 70-66 within the tournament quarterfinal was essential to avoid a late setback.

Connecticut (In – No. 9 seed). Another formality, the Huskies (15-6, 11-6 Big East) performed themselves within the bubble as a result of 94-60 make an impression on Big East doormat DePaul within the quarterfinals.

Colorado Condition (In – No. 12 seed). The Rams (18-5, 14-4) are barely within the forecasted field. Beating Fresno Condition 72-62 on Thursday within the Mountain West Conference tournament was necessary that you follow the most effective side within the bubble. Just two Quadrant 1 wins along with a strength of schedule of 120 will not impress the choice committee, so CSU must win more to remain safe.


Southern Methodist (First four out). The Mustangs required to win their opener within the American Sports Conference tournament to obtain seriously considered by having an at-large bid. They lost 74-71 to Cincinnati within the quarterfinals despite Kendric Davis’ 35 points. Coach Tim Jankovich’s team has decent tournament credentials only one area the committee will likely harp on will most likely be scheduling – SMU includes a non-conference strength of schedule within the 270s. Consequently, this program owns zero Quadrant 1 wins.

Duke (Out). Nowhere Demons (13-11, 9-9 ACC) arrived on the scene to obtain playing themselves into NCAA Tournament contention after beating Louisville on Wednesday however an positive COVID-19 test inside the program ended its season round the sour note..

St. John’s (First four out). After beginning every day among the “last four in,” Thursday’s loss to Seton Hall flipped the Red Storm (16-11, 10-9 Big East) to among the “first four out.” The committee will likely save this team by helping cover their different Internet score within the 60s along with a non-conference strength of schedule within the 230s.

Boise Condition (In – No. 12 seed). The Broncos (18-8, 14-6 Mountain West) fell to Nevada 89-82 within the quarterfinal within the Mountain West Tournament. That setback – the following consecutive loss for that Wolf Pack – might be pricey using this team that’s hanging onto an area within the First Four. Boise State’s resume features the 2nd best non-conference strength of schedule within the united states . states along with a Internet score within the low 40s. But you will find just two Quadrant 1 wins to pick an unhealthy loss to Fresno Condition.

Xavier (First four out). The Musketeers (13-8, 6-7 Big East) lost 70-69 in overtime to Butler within the Big East tournament’s first round. That loss cost Xavier a go at playing within the NCAA tourney. They went from “last four in” to “first four out” while using the loss now sit watching for tense Selection Sunday.

Stanford (out). The Cardinal (14-13, 10-10) solidified their place after losing within the first round within the Pac-12 tournament to California. Stanford reaches this combination to notch an at-large bid before losing its final five games of the season.

NCAA Tournament language explainer:

Internet means the NCAA Evaluation Tool, the barometer for the selection committee. It offers game results, strength of schedule, game location, scoring margin (capping at 10 points per game), and internet offensive and defensive efficiency.

Quadrant 1 wins: Home games versus. 1-30 Internet teams Neutral-site games versus. 1-50 Internet Away games versus. 1-75 Internet

Quadrant 2 wins: Home games versus. 31-75 Internet Neutral-site games versus. 51-100 Internet Away games versus. 76-135 Internet

Quadrant 3 wins: Home games versus. 76-160 Internet Neutral-site games versus. 101-200 Internet Away games versus. 136-240 Internet

Quadrant 4 wins: Home games versus. 161-plus Internet Neutral-site games versus. 201-plus Internet Away games versus. 241-plus Internet

Note: Most record facts are used from The Net rankings (NCAA Evaluation Tool) may also be a reference.

About our bracketologist: Shelby Mast remains projecting the location since 2005 on his website, Bracket W.A.G. He increased to end up part of USA TODAY in 2014. Inside the eighth season as our national bracketologist, Mast has finished among the top three bracketologists formerly seven March Madnesses. He’s also predicted for the Indiana Star, that is an inaugural area of the Super 10 Selection Committee. Follow him on Twitter @BracketWag.

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